Thursday MLB Picks

Pirates (-115) vs Phillies

This game is going to be an interesting matchup. It’s Jake Arrieta against a team he faced many a time as a Cub and a young pitcher that has loads of potential in Jameson Taillon. Taillon has been lights out this season against opponents that don’t have the strongest lineup so it’ll be interesting to see him pitch against a Phillies team that has had a power surge at the beginning of the year. Arrieta had success against the Cubs early on in his career, but last year he struggled a little against the younger guys on Pittsburgh, specifically Josh Bell who is 7-14 with 2 home runs and a .611 OBP against Arrieta. In 5 starts against the Pirates last season, Arrieta was 1-3 with a 4.07 ERA in 24.1 innings pitched. This is not a great line for a pitcher that the Phillies are paying nearly $16 million a year, but it’s good that he doesn’t have to face the Pirates as often as he did as a Cub. These are two teams that have overperformed offensively to start off the season and I’m expecting the Pirates to continue their hot start against a pitcher they’ve had success against in the past.

Red Sox (-115) vs Angels & Red Sox Team Total o4 (-115)

We’re riding a hot streak here. The Red Sox have outscored the Angels 19-1 so far including a 10 run game in which the most impressive Angels pitcher thus far, Shohei Ohtani was victim to an early exit. Nick Tropeano hasn’t shown me enough thus far in his career. He’s had a good start to the season with one start in Kansas City where he did not allow a run, but this Red Sox lineup is obviously better than the Royals lineup. The Red Sox are a well oiled machine that has talent up and down their lineup. This is clearly a legit team that has everything working well for them at this point in the season and they are still going to get Pedroia and Bogaerts back at some point this season. Eduardo Rodriguez has pitched better than expected in his first two starts of the season, but that doesn’t mean I trust him just yet, so I’m not going to go with the run line in this one. I think the Red Sox can do enough with their bats in order to get a victory for Rodriguez tonight. I personally split a unit and put half on the Red Sox ML and half on their team total, so do whatever you want with your money.


Pictured: Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher Jameson Taillon


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