Tuesday MLB Bets

Twins +120 vs Yankees

I know that with the Yankees high powered and at times scary offense, it’s probably hard for some people to bet against them, but I’m going with the better pitcher here. Jose Berrios, who I’ve written about before, is one of the most electric young arms in the game and reminds me a lot of Jose Fernandez with his stuff and personality. I’ll ride with Berrios until he can’t pitch anymore. Berrios has a high 90s fastball and some filth to go along with it, which will be perfect for him against a Yankees team that loves to swing and, more importantly for Berrios, strikes out a ton. This bet may look worse if you look at the box score from last nights 14-1 Yankee victory, but I’m not worried about that. The beauty of baseball is that any team can win any game throughout the course of the season. Berrios had a pretty bad start his last time pitching at Yankee Stadium, but I’ve seen something different from him this year, control. Berrios has honed his fastball and has used his off-speed pitches effectively off his fastball so far this season and I expect that to continue tonight.

The Yankees are throwing Veteran CC Sabathia out on the mound who has had a great start to his season. Sabathia has had a decent amount of success against the Twins lineup like Berrios has had success against the Yankees lineup. I think this will be a lower scoring game due to the fact that Berrios likes to try and keep the ball low in the zone and will likely get a lot of swing and misses, plus CC Sabathia knows how to prepare for an opponent and has allowed this current Twins lineup only a .204 BA. Not only can Sabathia prepare for any opponent, the Twins bats were pretty much AWOL last night. Brian Dozier did extend his hitting streak to 17 games, but that was pretty much the only highlight for the Twins.

Both pitchers are going for win number 20; Berrios will have 20 career wins and Sabathia would have 20 career wins against the Twins. I’m hoping that Berrios can pitch late into the game because the Twins bullpen has been a little short of great lately. They’ve allowed 23 earned runs in 13.1 innings over the past four games for the Twins. Berrios and the bats need to secure an early lead and put the Bronx Bombers away before Judge and Stanton can get their bats going.


Pictured: Minnesota Twins Pitcher Jose Berrios


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